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Oil Surges, Flirting With $40 A Barrel, And Then Retreats

Rubatex Msds The growing fears of an imminent Iraqi war contributed to tumultuous trading in the oil market today, where prices surged to nearly $40 a barrel, their highest point since Iraq invaded Kuwait 12 years ago, and then retreated.

Traders cannot ignore the fact that Oil prices are on their way to $90 a barrel. The USD slipped broadly on Wednesday not only due to a sharp fall in U.S. Housing Starts for September, but also because of the surge in Crude Oil prices. Oil prices hitting new highs will continue to influence negatively on the US economy.

Rubatex Neoprene Oil prices shot up in the morning after President Bush reiterated his case for using military force to remove the Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein from power. But after prices failed to break the $40 mark, they retreated sharply as some oil traders locked in profits.

Coal, mainly in power stations, covers about one quarter of our energy needs, but its use has declined since we have used more oil. As sources dwindle (the world uses about 200 million barrels of oil every day and it may well run out in 40 years) demand for fuel rockets relentlessly. In addition climate change threatens the planet and we now have an energy crisis. This article looks at what fuels are available now, where the demand lies and what the alternatives for the future are.

Rubatex Pipe Adding to the oil market's volatility was a combination of cold weather and declining oil inventories that had sent prices climbing on Wednesday.

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Rubatex Pipe Insulation Oil traders reacted nervously after President Bush declared on Wednesday evening that removing Mr. Hussein from power would bring stability to the Middle East, taking the president's statement as a sign that a possible war with Iraq might be near. An Iraqi war would likely disrupt oil supplies from the Middle East, and a war, if it occurs soon, would come at a time when American oil inventories are very low and demand is strong because of the cold winter in the United States.

Meanwhile, without noticing, oil prices reached above $60 a barrel due to a cold weather in the US. 2006 as it was a key inflationary factor.

Rubatex 180 On the New York Mercantile Exchange today, crude oil for April delivery climbed as much as $2.29, or 6.1 percent, to $39.99 a barrel, by late this morning. But the oil rally faded this afternoon, and April crude settled down 50 cents, at $37.20 a barrel. Oil prices jumped $1.64 on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the oil prices reached back above a barrel due to a reduction in shipping supply caused by bad weather in Alaska.

Rubatex 180 Fs Traders and industry analysts said they expected prices to remain volatile for some time, a trend, some fear, that could further strain the weak global economy.

Rubatex 1800 "When you start hitting these type of numbers, that means there is some kind of pain in the industry," said Thomas P. Bentz, senior energy analyst with BNP Paribas Commodity Futures. "In this case, they could hurt the consumer, hurt the economy, and there could be a backlash against the oil industry."

Rubatex 320 Oil traders said the sharp jump in prices on Wednesday and early today reflected alarm in the market after weekly data from the Energy Department regarding crude oil and petroleum products disclosed a decline in inventories in most categories. The Energy Department estimated that crude oil inventories fell by a million barrels, to 271.9 million. Stocks in the Midwest had dropped "to only 50.1 million barrels, the lowest ever since the Department of Energy began tracking regional inventories," according to a report by UBS Warburg.

Rubatex 373 In the Northeast, inventories of distillate, which includes heating oil, fell by 4.5 million barrels to their lowest level since May 2000, according to the UBS Warburg report. At the same time, the Northeast's demand for distillate rose to 4.5 million barrels a day, a sign of the growing appetite for heating oil because of the region's protracted cold weather, Mr. Bentz said.

Rubatex Rubber The buildup to the price spike on Wednesday and early today has been months in the making, said Lawrence J. Goldstein, president of the Petroleum Industry Research Foundation, as production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries took hold through most of last year. OPEC began carrying out the output reductions starting in early 2002 because global supplies of oil were high and demand for oil was weak. According to Mr. Goldstein, OPEC's production fell by three million barrels a day in the first quarter of 2002, compared with the period a year earlier, then by two million barrels a day in the second quarter.

Rubatex Tape "Quietly, invisibly, with every day that went by, stocks started to unwind and prices began to rise to the high 20's," Mr. Goldstein said. "Then the Venezuelans go on strike when stocks are already tight, and you lose 2.3 million barrels a day of exports."

Rubatex Closing The loss of Venezuelan supplies occurred just as a cold winter settled upon much of the northern United States. Demand for heating oil grew, and profit margins increased for refiners for the first time in months. To make up for the disappearance of Venezuelan supplies, OPEC promised more oil from the Middle East to American refiners. But those shipments take about 40 days to reach the United States.

Rubatex Closed Cell Gasketing In the interim, refiners, eager to take advantage of those higher consumer prices, began to draw upon their own stocks of crude oil. But those stocks have now fallen so low to about 270 million barrels that they have reached what the industry calls minimum operating levels, the bare minimum the oil system needs to operate safely. As a result, Mr. Goldstein said, refiners cut their output. All this despite the fact that the cold weather has yet to relent.

Felpro Gaskets Traders said they had expected to see somewhat higher inventory data this week because they thought the crude oil shipments from the Middle East might have arrived in the United States by now.

By Neela Banerjee
New York Times - 2/27/2003

Topic: Petroleum Industry

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