Rubatex Information

Rubatex Msds Looming war in Iraq and a Venezuelan workers' strike have stolen the headlines in the build toward $40 oil, but it is a decade-long shrinkage of the U.S. energy industry that underlies the soaring price.

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Rubatex Neoprene As energy companies bid to improve profit margins by cutting costs, oil and natural gas drillers are pumping less supply from the U.S. mainland, while unprofitable refiners have closed plants and drained storage tanks, analysts said.

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Rubatex Pipe The result: a U.S. energy supply system increasingly vulnerable to supply shocks, leaving fuel consumers at home and abroad more exposed to sudden price rises.

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Rubatex Pipe Insulation "The oil industry has been generally underinvested in last 20 years ... so what happens is if we get into a situation where we get a hiccup in the oil balance and you get these very leveraged affects on price," said Mike Rothman, analyst at Merrill Lynch bank.

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Rubatex 180 The U.S. supply shortage has undercut the ability of the OPEC oil producer cartel -- itself now bumping up against production capacity limits -- to keep oil price increases under control. OPEC meets next week to decide policy in the event of war in Iraq.

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Rubatex 180 Fs U.S. oil companies keep on hand about 1 billion barrels of spare supply of crude oil and oil products like gasoline, worth tens of billions of dollars. But when oil prices drop, the cost to refiners can be overwhelming, as inventory on hand loses value.

Rubatex 1800 Plagued by poor profits for much of the 1990s, U.S. oil refiners increasingly used computer software to manage inventories more efficiently and whittle down the stock cushion they keep on hand. The shift gained pace in the Internet boom.

Rubatex 320 "If refiners wanted to maintain share price in an environment of high tech stocks they're going to do everything to cut costs," said Sarah Emerson, director of Boston-based Energy Security Analysis Inc.

Rubatex 373 LOW STOCKS, HIGH PRICES

Rubatex Rubber From February 1993 to this year commercial crude inventories have fallen 18 percent and now stand at the lowest level since 1975, according to government figures. The lack of oil last week pushed crude prices to within a penny of hitting $40 for the first time in 12 years.

Rubatex Tape "Throughout the U.S. energy industry, assets and activity have been undervalued by markets," said Paul Horsnell of J.P. Morgan bank.

Rubatex Closing This winter the slow inventory evaporation has been accelerated by an anti-government Venezuelan strike that has chopped oil exports of the world's former No. 5 supplier by one-third, or 1 million barrels per day.

Rubatex Closed Cell Gasketing U.S. crude stocks have dropped to the minimum 270 million-barrel level the government says is needed to keep supplies flowing smoothly -- just as the international oil system braces for war in Iraq, which ships around 4 percent of world crude exports.

Felpro Gaskets The sheer size of the energy needs of the United States, which consumes a quarter of the world's oil and imports 60 percent of its fuel, means higher U.S. prices ripple through to Europe and Asia, even though supplies there are not nearly as tight.

Poly Products Supplies "The United States has probably been the most active (nation) in terms of moving toward a lower average level of inventories for petroleum," said Dave Costello, an economist at the federal Energy Information Administration.

Poly Hunting Feeders WINTER WOES

Shoreline 13171 17 Neoprene A long, cold winter has pulled U.S. heating oil stocks to their lowest levels in nearly three years. Gasoline stocks, which should soon be building for summer driving demand, are 11 percent lower than last year.

Neoprene Pads Supplies have now fallen to dangerous levels, said Matthew Simmons, oil consultant with Simmons and Co. in Houston. "We got here over a decade, as a result it's going to take long time to figure out how we get out of this hole," Simmons said.

Neoprene Seat Covers Cost-conscious companies' reluctance to drill for new supplies also has helped press prices for natural gas -- a rival heating and industrial fuel -- to all-time highs for the second time in three winters.

Rubber Manufacturer "This is not the sign of a market that is either working well or playing a constructive role in the U.S. economy," said J.P. Morgan's Horsnell.

By Timothy Gardner
Reuters - 3/5/2003

Topic: Energy